Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.000834 0.000895 0.000959 0.001032 0.001113 0.001200 0.001301
2026-01-18 0.000743 0.000826 0.000918 0.001028 0.001156 0.001303 0.001484
2026-01-25 0.000782 0.000897 0.001030 0.001197 0.001403 0.001651 0.001979
2026-02-01 0.000708 0.000827 0.000969 0.001153 0.001386 0.001679 0.002082
2026-02-08 0.000653 0.000775 0.000924 0.001120 0.001378 0.001712 0.002189
2026-02-15 0.000615 0.000741 0.000897 0.001108 0.001391 0.001771 0.002333
2026-02-22 0.000577 0.000703 0.000862 0.001081 0.001382 0.001796 0.002429
2026-03-01 0.000538 0.000662 0.000820 0.001041 0.001352 0.001787 0.002474
2026-03-08 0.000513 0.000637 0.000798 0.001027 0.001355 0.001826 0.002590
2026-03-15 0.000488 0.000612 0.000773 0.001007 0.001348 0.001849 0.002683
2026-03-22 0.000454 0.000572 0.000728 0.000956 0.001291 0.001791 0.002640
2026-03-29 0.000433 0.000550 0.000705 0.000934 0.001278 0.001799 0.002704
2026-04-05 0.000414 0.000531 0.000688 0.000925 0.001286 0.001849 0.002862
2026-04-12 0.000398 0.000515 0.000675 0.000920 0.001303 0.001914 0.003056
2026-04-19 0.000428 0.000565 0.000758 0.001065 0.001567 0.002420 0.004150
2026-04-26 0.000403 0.000535 0.000724 0.001027 0.001530 0.002401 0.004218
2026-05-03 0.000383 0.000512 0.000698 0.000999 0.001508 0.002407 0.004338
2026-05-10 0.000369 0.000497 0.000683 0.000988 0.001514 0.002464 0.004576
2026-05-17 0.000353 0.000478 0.000661 0.000965 0.001496 0.002474 0.004712
2026-05-24 0.000335 0.000455 0.000633 0.000931 0.001456 0.002438 0.004735
2026-05-31 0.000323 0.000442 0.000619 0.000919 0.001455 0.002478 0.004945
2026-06-07 0.000312 0.000428 0.000603 0.000902 0.001444 0.002497 0.005108
2026-06-14 0.000294 0.000405 0.000571 0.000857 0.001379 0.002399 0.004957